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Red367
7102109.4
3478195.7
631996.2
Blue229
3354134.0
615694.2
6694117.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2802350100200400500600700367229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195.79.5
125.1134.6
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
red by 61.7
134.06.3
100.0106.3
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End12.7
Second
7102
#30
109.47.6
77.785.3
Auto12.5
Teleop83.6
End14.2
blue by 8.0
6694
#18
117.35.3
86.992.3
Auto13.6
Teleop92.0
End15.2
Third
6319
#46
96.23.9
84.688.6
Auto12.3
Teleop73.0
End10.4
red by 2.0
6156
#32
94.26.9
79.886.7
Auto9.1
Teleop77.5
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed