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Red214
6348113.4
6106137.7
696595.4
Blue151
534492.9
682095.3
6200128.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2602280100200300400500600214151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.74.4
112.2116.6
Auto14.7
Teleop104.9
End22.0
red by 9.3
6200
#39
128.45.8
103.4109.2
Auto15.7
Teleop102.3
End13.3
Second
113.43.5
104.1107.6
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5
red by 18.2
6820
#20
95.31.2
96.497.7
Auto12.8
Teleop80.4
End3.1
Third
6965
#45
95.40.6
92.893.3
Auto10.8
Teleop77.9
End9.8
red by 2.5
5344
#48
92.91.9
88.890.6
Auto13.5
Teleop73.4
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed