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Red311
4731119.3
3354134.0
3158116.6
Blue188
5948141.5
631996.2
6170109.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28024004006008001,000311188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.03.6
111.4115.0
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End12.7
blue by 7.6
141.56.3
112.6118.8
Auto17.0
Teleop104.7
End23.7
Second
4731
#11
119.37.7
94.5102.2
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End12.9
red by 10.1
6170
#31
109.30.4
104.9105.4
Auto12.5
Teleop86.9
End13.8
Third
3158
#40
116.61.5
117.9119.4
Auto16.1
Teleop91.3
End9.9
red by 20.4
6319
#46
96.22.1
94.496.5
Auto12.3
Teleop73.0
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed