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Red339
3794108.1
6200128.4
6106137.7
Blue201
6666101.4
5887110.9
5948141.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252283100200400500339201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.74.4
116.6121.0
Auto14.7
Teleop104.9
End22.0
blue by 3.8
141.54.5
123.7128.2
Auto17.0
Teleop104.7
End23.7
Second
6200
#39
128.41.6
113.1114.7
Auto15.7
Teleop102.3
End13.3
red by 17.5
5887
#38
110.92.2
112.2114.4
Auto12.0
Teleop86.1
End13.1
Third
3794
#24
108.11.5
104.2105.7
Auto11.2
Teleop90.0
End6.6
red by 6.7
6666
#35
101.41.8
108.1106.3
Auto12.6
Teleop81.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed