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Qual 582018 Monterrey Regional
Red136
6647133.7
660583.0
3158116.6
Blue355
4584123.8
4731119.3
4401114.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253269150200300350400136355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#21
133.70.8
131.0→131.8
Auto15.8
Teleop104.7
End13.2
red by 9.8
4584
#12
123.82.0
115.6→117.6
Auto15.0
Teleop100.2
End10.1
Second
3158
#40
116.61.3
121.7→123.0
Auto16.1
Teleop91.3
End9.9
blue by 2.8
4731
#11
119.33.6
108.6→112.2
Auto16.9
Teleop91.5
End12.9
Third
6605
#44
83.01.7
87.4→85.6
Auto11.8
Teleop64.0
End9.8
blue by 31.0
4401
#17
114.10.7
110.8→111.5
Auto16.8
Teleop96.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed