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Red20
696595.4
698392.6
3510102.5
Blue339
6507110.9
6483123.1
6694117.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2102455010015030035040020339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3510
#16
102.50.8
104.1103.3
Auto12.0
Teleop83.3
End10.5
blue by 20.6
6483
#14
123.12.7
112.4115.1
Auto13.4
Teleop97.0
End12.2
Second
6965
#45
95.42.5
95.297.7
Auto10.8
Teleop77.9
End9.8
blue by 22.0
6694
#18
117.32.7
102.9105.6
Auto13.6
Teleop92.0
End15.2
Third
6983
#37
92.61.1
97.798.8
Auto16.8
Teleop76.7
End-1.5
blue by 18.2
6507
#26
110.91.3
101.1102.4
Auto13.7
Teleop87.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed