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Red213
631996.2
5716126.7
4775141.4
Blue386
3478195.7
6652106.3
5932103.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256302100200400500213386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4775
#10
141.46.2
119.4125.6
Auto15.2
Teleop107.3
End22.3
blue by 54.3
195.77.9
161.4169.3
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
Second
5716
#22
126.73.3
115.7119.1
Auto16.4
Teleop97.2
End14.7
red by 20.4
6652
#25
106.30.5
107.8107.3
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.5
Third
6319
#46
96.20.4
98.798.3
Auto12.3
Teleop73.0
End10.4
blue by 7.7
5932
#28
103.90.8
101.8100.9
Auto13.6
Teleop78.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed