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Qual 642018 Monterrey Regional
Red287
6170109.3
3933134.7
615694.2
Blue146
6218100.6
601099.8
4010127.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229241150200300350287146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#7
134.70.6
116.1→116.7
Auto17.2
Teleop106.3
End12.0
red by 7.5
4010
#19
127.30.5
120.8→121.4
Auto15.3
Teleop98.8
End13.4
Second
6170
#31
109.30.3
106.5→106.2
Auto12.5
Teleop86.9
End13.8
red by 8.7
6218
#41
100.61.1
104.2→103.1
Auto13.8
Teleop80.0
End3.3
Third
6156
#32
94.22.3
93.4→91.0
Auto9.1
Teleop77.5
End11.3
blue by 5.6
6010
#34
99.80.3
104.4→104.1
Auto11.6
Teleop81.0
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed