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Red36
513398.3
698392.6
7102109.4
Blue485
3478195.7
4401114.1
6106137.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144396010020030050060070036485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7102
#30
109.40.9
109.0109.9
Auto12.5
Teleop83.6
End14.2
blue by 86.3
195.73.3
182.3185.6
Auto26.0
Teleop140.8
End32.5
Second
5133
#27
98.31.0
97.798.7
Auto14.7
Teleop75.9
End7.1
blue by 39.4
137.70.5
133.9134.4
Auto14.7
Teleop104.9
End22.0
Third
6983
#37
92.60.8
95.194.3
Auto16.8
Teleop76.7
End-1.5
blue by 21.4
4401
#17
114.10.9
113.1112.2
Auto16.8
Teleop96.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned