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Red215
6652106.3
6200128.4
696595.4
Blue379
3510102.5
3354134.0
6647133.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2042940100400500215379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6200
#39
128.42.8
122.1124.9
Auto15.7
Teleop102.3
End13.3
blue by 5.6
134.01.5
127.3128.8
Auto17.8
Teleop104.2
End12.7
Second
6652
#25
106.31.6
108.3106.7
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.5
blue by 27.4
6647
#21
133.70.4
130.8130.3
Auto15.8
Teleop104.7
End13.2
Third
6965
#45
95.41.0
96.495.4
Auto10.8
Teleop77.9
End9.8
blue by 7.1
3510
#16
102.50.0
98.198.1
Auto12.0
Teleop83.3
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed