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Qual 752018 Monterrey Regional
Red106
3158116.6
6483123.1
3522130.9
Blue254
4775141.4
3472119.0
6348113.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2972360100200400500106254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3522
#6
130.91.1
130.0→131.1
Auto12.9
Teleop102.9
End17.4
blue by 10.6
4775
#10
141.42.2
133.3→135.5
Auto15.2
Teleop107.3
End22.3
Second
6483
#14
123.11.9
120.8→122.7
Auto13.4
Teleop97.0
End12.2
red by 4.1
3472
#8
119.00.3
116.2→116.0
Auto15.4
Teleop95.3
End8.3
Third
3158
#40
116.60.2
118.1→117.9
Auto16.1
Teleop91.3
End9.9
red by 3.1
6348
#9
113.40.0
111.0→111.0
Auto14.8
Teleop92.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed