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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Laguna Regional
Red395
3480132.8
6647154.5
6708111.0
Blue118
3354147.6
5526120.3
6896124.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328304100200400500600395118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6647
#5
154.51.0
150.7→151.6
Auto19.6
Teleop118.9
End17.6
red by 6.9
3354
#8
147.60.2
147.4→147.6
Auto17.4
Teleop113.2
End18.1
Second
3480
#12
132.80.7
130.1→130.7
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
red by 8.1
6896
#25
124.70.2
124.5→124.7
Auto13.0
Teleop102.6
End7.8
Third
6708
#13
111.01.0
107.2→108.2
Auto16.0
Teleop78.0
End18.2
blue by 9.3
5526
#6
120.30.5
119.5→120.0
Auto19.8
Teleop93.8
End8.3