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Red266
4400140.9
4603144.9
4735110.8
Blue426
4401131.1
7018126.4
3472130.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2953120100200400500600700266426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.90.3
144.6144.9
Auto14.6
Teleop118.1
End11.4
red by 13.9
131.10.6
129.1129.7
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End18.0
Second
4400
#21
140.90.5
140.5140.9
Auto15.5
Teleop104.9
End22.9
red by 10.8
3472
#15
130.10.6
128.3128.9
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End16.1
Third
4735
#27
110.80.5
110.3110.8
Auto13.5
Teleop82.0
End17.9
blue by 15.7
126.40.6
124.4125.0
Auto15.5
Teleop105.7
End7.3