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Qual 112018 Laguna Regional
Red15
5705114.5
4735110.8
7217106.5
Blue274
7018126.4
4010125.3
6896124.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25526402004006008001,00015274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5705
#36
114.511.5
74.9→86.4
Auto14.2
Teleop86.7
End14.3
blue by 11.9
7018
#4
126.411.3
77.7→89.0
Auto15.5
Teleop105.7
End7.3
Second
4735
#27
110.811.2
87.4→98.7
Auto13.5
Teleop82.0
End17.9
blue by 14.5
4010
#10
125.30.3
127.9→127.6
Auto15.5
Teleop99.9
End6.2
Third
7217
#20
106.511.3
77.7→89.0
Auto16.4
Teleop82.7
End5.1
blue by 18.2
6896
#25
124.710.4
77.7→88.1
Auto13.0
Teleop102.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed