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Red15
4262111.1
660499.0
6708111.0
Blue283
4403112.3
5093110.2
3472130.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186290010040050015283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4262
#28
111.110.2
79.489.6
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End14.6
blue by 19.0
3472
#15
130.11.5
119.8121.3
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End16.1
Second
6708
#13
111.010.3
70.881.1
Auto16.0
Teleop78.0
End18.2
blue by 1.3
4403
#38
112.30.1
114.3114.3
Auto14.3
Teleop89.8
End10.0
Third
6604
#24
99.010.6
71.281.9
Auto16.0
Teleop74.8
End8.2
blue by 11.2
5093
#26
110.29.2
83.092.3
Auto13.9
Teleop86.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed