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Qual 132018 Laguna Regional
Red120
4723101.4
379497.6
6444106.6
Blue414
4635179.3
5959126.9
6837102.1
24%Model gave it76%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231311100200400500120414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6444
#17
106.613.0
76.2→89.3
Auto14.7
Teleop84.3
End8.2
blue by 72.8
4635
#1
179.31.4
150.9→152.3
Auto29.9
Teleop136.7
End14.7
Second
4723
#22
101.411.9
87.7→99.6
Auto15.5
Teleop79.3
End7.8
blue by 25.4
5959
#18
126.911.4
74.9→86.3
Auto16.3
Teleop100.7
End8.2
Third
3794
#39
97.61.1
108.1→107.0
Auto11.9
Teleop80.1
End4.1
blue by 4.5
6837
#35
102.114.0
77.7→91.8
Auto14.3
Teleop80.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed