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Red342
4723101.4
6896124.7
3354147.6
Blue213
6444106.6
4371112.4
4355133.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314232100200400500342213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.62.1
138.2140.3
Auto17.4
Teleop113.2
End18.1
red by 14.0
4355
#11
133.60.5
125.2124.7
Auto17.6
Teleop98.6
End15.9
Second
6896
#25
124.77.2
88.195.3
Auto13.0
Teleop102.6
End7.8
red by 12.3
4371
#37
112.46.4
95.4101.8
Auto12.0
Teleop90.0
End8.1
Third
4723
#22
101.45.5
99.6105.1
Auto15.5
Teleop79.3
End7.8
blue by 5.1
6444
#17
106.66.2
89.395.5
Auto14.7
Teleop84.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed