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Red15
683288.7
4403112.3
5312117.6
Blue188
7040104.5
7018126.4
6606118.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23324010020030040015188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#19
117.60.8
118.4117.6
Auto16.6
Teleop93.3
End8.2
blue by 8.8
126.47.9
89.096.9
Auto15.5
Teleop105.7
End7.3
Second
4403
#38
112.30.5
114.3114.9
Auto14.3
Teleop89.8
End10.0
blue by 6.5
6606
#23
118.87.0
97.2104.2
Auto16.8
Teleop87.8
End13.1
Third
6832
#40
88.74.5
86.791.1
Auto13.4
Teleop72.9
End1.1
blue by 15.8
7040
#33
104.54.4
87.892.2
Auto12.8
Teleop81.9
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed