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Red252
4401131.1
6444106.6
7040104.5
Blue242
601790.4
6606118.8
2283129.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions258208100300400500252242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.11.0
117.9119.0
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End18.0
red by 1.8
129.31.7
101.1102.9
Auto14.5
Teleop104.9
End14.4
Second
6444
#17
106.60.4
100.3100.7
Auto14.7
Teleop84.3
End8.2
blue by 12.2
6606
#23
118.80.0
109.2109.1
Auto16.8
Teleop87.8
End13.1
Third
7040
#33
104.52.1
95.397.4
Auto12.8
Teleop81.9
End9.7
red by 14.1
6017
#29
90.41.5
93.491.9
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed