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Qual 302018 Laguna Regional
Red223
4371112.4
7217106.5
6896124.7
Blue109
6702117.3
379497.6
5312117.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279221100150200250300350400450223109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6896
#25
124.75.9
101.9→107.7
Auto13.0
Teleop102.6
End7.8
red by 7.1
5312
#19
117.60.9
116.2→115.3
Auto16.6
Teleop93.3
End8.2
Second
4371
#37
112.44.3
106.7→111.1
Auto12.0
Teleop90.0
End8.1
blue by 4.9
6702
#30
117.32.9
102.9→105.8
Auto15.4
Teleop89.9
End15.0
Third
7217
#20
106.56.6
97.5→104.1
Auto16.4
Teleop82.7
End5.1
red by 8.9
3794
#39
97.60.0
103.6→103.5
Auto11.9
Teleop80.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed