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Qual 312018 Laguna Regional
Red275
7018126.4
3354147.6
7161103.7
Blue189
5959126.9
4262111.1
4603144.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269262200220240280300320275189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#8
147.62.1
142.7→144.8
Auto17.4
Teleop113.2
End18.1
red by 2.7
4603
#3
144.90.6
136.9→137.5
Auto14.6
Teleop118.1
End11.4
Second
7018
#4
126.44.3
102.4→106.7
Auto15.5
Teleop105.7
End7.3
blue by 0.4
5959
#18
126.95.0
103.4→108.4
Auto16.3
Teleop100.7
End8.2
Third
7161
#32
103.71.5
99.0→97.5
Auto14.4
Teleop75.7
End14.2
blue by 7.4
4262
#28
111.13.2
97.4→100.6
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed