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Qual 462018 Laguna Regional
Red196
4371112.4
5959126.9
5705114.5
Blue428
7299108.1
4635179.3
6647154.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244357100200300400500196428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#18
126.95.6
110.7→116.4
Auto16.3
Teleop100.7
End8.2
blue by 52.5
4635
#1
179.32.2
161.8→164.0
Auto29.9
Teleop136.7
End14.7
Second
5705
#36
114.53.7
103.3→107.0
Auto14.2
Teleop86.7
End14.3
blue by 40.0
6647
#5
154.50.7
141.4→142.1
Auto19.6
Teleop118.9
End17.6
Third
4371
#37
112.41.8
113.4→115.3
Auto12.0
Teleop90.0
End8.1
red by 4.3
7299
#31
108.12.5
104.1→106.7
Auto12.6
Teleop86.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed