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Qual 472018 Laguna Regional
Red337
4603144.9
6199107.7
5526120.3
Blue155
4355133.6
7217106.5
7046101.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2902360100200400500600337155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4603
#3
144.90.4
137.5→138.0
Auto14.6
Teleop118.1
End11.4
red by 11.3
4355
#11
133.61.9
126.8→128.7
Auto17.6
Teleop98.6
End15.9
Second
5526
#6
120.30.1
116.2→116.3
Auto19.8
Teleop93.8
End8.3
red by 13.8
7217
#20
106.51.4
108.1→109.5
Auto16.4
Teleop82.7
End5.1
Third
6199
#7
107.70.9
107.1→107.9
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End6.7
red by 6.7
7046
#34
101.00.6
94.7→95.4
Auto14.7
Teleop80.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed