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Red397
2283129.3
4262111.1
4400140.9
Blue256
5312117.6
4723101.4
3933146.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions240304100200400500397256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#21
140.90.9
137.0136.1
Auto15.5
Teleop104.9
End22.9
blue by 6.0
3933
#16
146.91.4
144.8146.2
Auto18.3
Teleop114.4
End11.2
Second
129.32.8
104.5107.3
Auto14.5
Teleop104.9
End14.4
red by 11.7
5312
#19
117.60.6
114.0113.4
Auto16.6
Teleop93.3
End8.2
Third
4262
#28
111.10.1
101.8101.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End14.6
red by 9.7
4723
#22
101.41.7
107.5105.8
Auto15.5
Teleop79.3
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
3%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed