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Red125
4400140.9
7299108.1
703790.5
Blue162
4635179.3
660499.0
7040104.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2703080200400600800125162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#21
140.90.6
135.8136.3
Auto15.5
Teleop104.9
End22.9
blue by 38.4
179.32.6
148.3150.9
Auto29.9
Teleop136.7
End14.7
Second
7299
#31
108.130.4
108.177.7
Auto12.6
Teleop86.1
End5.8
red by 3.6
7040
#33
104.526.7
104.577.7
Auto12.8
Teleop81.9
End9.7
Third
7037
#41
90.512.7
90.577.7
Auto12.1
Teleop76.6
End-2.4
blue by 8.6
6604
#24
99.018.5
52.871.2
Auto16.0
Teleop74.8
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed