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Red230
6608109.6
6606118.8
6444106.6
Blue206
5093110.2
5312117.6
6708111.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522650100200400500600700800230206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6606
#23
118.816.7
68.284.9
Auto16.8
Teleop87.8
End13.1
red by 1.2
5312
#19
117.60.4
119.8119.4
Auto16.6
Teleop93.3
End8.2
Second
6608
#14
109.618.5
52.370.8
Auto15.4
Teleop84.2
End8.3
blue by 1.4
6708
#13
111.018.5
52.370.8
Auto16.0
Teleop78.0
End18.2
Third
6444
#17
106.617.8
58.476.2
Auto14.7
Teleop84.3
End8.2
blue by 3.7
5093
#26
110.216.9
66.183.0
Auto13.9
Teleop86.5
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed