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Qual 582018 Laguna Regional
Red128
4403112.3
4401131.1
601790.4
Blue303
3480132.8
5705114.5
4262111.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259254150200300350400128303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4401
#9
131.11.9
123.4→125.2
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End18.0
blue by 1.7
3480
#12
132.81.0
123.4→124.4
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
Second
4403
#38
112.30.3
114.0→113.7
Auto14.3
Teleop89.8
End10.0
blue by 2.2
5705
#36
114.51.8
108.9→110.7
Auto14.2
Teleop86.7
End14.3
Third
6017
#29
90.40.5
89.4→89.9
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End11.6
blue by 20.7
4262
#28
111.10.6
104.8→105.4
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed