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Qual 592018 Laguna Regional
Red348
4603144.9
7046101.0
4635179.3
Blue198
6896124.7
3472130.1
2283129.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102750100200400500600348198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#1
179.32.7
166.5→169.1
Auto29.9
Teleop136.7
End14.7
red by 49.2
3472
#15
130.10.7
125.8→126.5
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End16.1
Second
4603
#3
144.91.1
138.8→139.9
Auto14.6
Teleop118.1
End11.4
red by 15.6
2283
#2
129.33.2
110.8→114.0
Auto14.5
Teleop104.9
End14.4
Third
7046
#34
101.01.6
94.6→96.2
Auto14.7
Teleop80.3
End9.3
blue by 23.7
6896
#25
124.74.4
117.4→121.9
Auto13.0
Teleop102.6
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed