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Red201
4723101.4
4355133.6
6837102.1
Blue67
7161103.7
703790.5
5093110.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271240010020030040050020167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#11
133.61.3
129.7131.0
Auto17.6
Teleop98.6
End15.9
red by 23.4
5093
#26
110.21.2
108.7109.8
Auto13.9
Teleop86.5
End10.4
Second
6837
#35
102.10.2
105.8105.9
Auto14.3
Teleop80.0
End4.0
blue by 1.6
7161
#32
103.72.0
100.9102.9
Auto14.4
Teleop75.7
End14.2
Third
4723
#22
101.42.1
105.3103.2
Auto15.5
Teleop79.3
End7.8
red by 11.0
7037
#41
90.51.2
96.495.2
Auto12.1
Teleop76.6
End-2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed