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Red204
6199107.7
3933146.9
4010125.3
Blue380
6647154.5
5959126.9
6444106.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062550100200400500600204380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#16
146.90.6
147.5148.1
Auto18.3
Teleop114.4
End11.2
blue by 7.7
154.51.4
143.3144.7
Auto19.6
Teleop118.9
End17.6
Second
4010
#10
125.30.6
127.4126.8
Auto15.5
Teleop99.9
End6.2
blue by 1.6
5959
#18
126.92.2
119.6121.8
Auto16.3
Teleop100.7
End8.2
Third
107.70.7
109.0109.7
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End6.7
red by 1.1
6444
#17
106.60.1
101.9102.0
Auto14.7
Teleop84.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed