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Red306
7018126.4
4400140.9
683288.7
Blue273
5526120.3
601790.4
3480132.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462410100200300400500306273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#21
140.90.6
136.1136.7
Auto15.5
Teleop104.9
End22.9
red by 8.1
3480
#12
132.82.4
124.4126.7
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
Second
126.41.1
116.6117.7
Auto15.5
Teleop105.7
End7.3
red by 6.1
120.30.2
116.9116.6
Auto19.8
Teleop93.8
End8.3
Third
6832
#40
88.70.6
89.088.3
Auto13.4
Teleop72.9
End1.1
blue by 1.7
6017
#29
90.40.0
89.989.9
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
3%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed