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Red30
6606118.8
703790.5
379497.6
Blue407
6647154.5
4355133.6
4262111.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191351010030040050060030407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6606
#23
118.81.6
117.7119.3
Auto16.8
Teleop87.8
End13.1
blue by 35.8
154.52.2
144.7146.9
Auto19.6
Teleop118.9
End17.6
Second
3794
#39
97.61.3
101.5100.2
Auto11.9
Teleop80.1
End4.1
blue by 36.0
4355
#11
133.60.8
131.0131.8
Auto17.6
Teleop98.6
End15.9
Third
7037
#41
90.52.0
95.293.2
Auto12.1
Teleop76.6
End-2.4
blue by 20.7
4262
#28
111.12.1
105.4107.5
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
7%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed