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Red277
6444106.6
5526120.3
5312117.6
Blue331
7046101.0
4401131.1
4735110.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269264150200250300350277331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120.30.4
116.6117.0
Auto19.8
Teleop93.8
End8.3
blue by 10.7
131.10.9
125.2126.2
Auto16.7
Teleop102.1
End18.0
Second
5312
#19
117.61.4
113.3114.6
Auto16.6
Teleop93.3
End8.2
red by 6.8
4735
#27
110.81.3
105.6106.8
Auto13.5
Teleop82.0
End17.9
Third
6444
#17
106.62.1
102.0104.0
Auto14.7
Teleop84.3
End8.2
red by 5.6
7046
#34
101.02.3
96.298.5
Auto14.7
Teleop80.3
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed