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Red339
4010125.3
2283129.3
5093110.2
Blue289
3472130.1
3480132.8
4400140.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413230100200400500600339289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
129.32.9
116.1119.0
Auto14.5
Teleop104.9
End14.4
blue by 11.6
4400
#21
140.91.3
137.7139.0
Auto15.5
Teleop104.9
End22.9
Second
4010
#10
125.31.2
126.8125.6
Auto15.5
Teleop99.9
End6.2
blue by 7.5
3480
#12
132.82.6
126.7129.3
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
Third
5093
#26
110.20.9
109.3110.2
Auto13.9
Teleop86.5
End10.4
blue by 19.9
3472
#15
130.10.1
126.5126.6
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsEarned7%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed