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Red200
4603144.9
7018126.4
660499.0
Blue364
4635179.3
379497.6
6708111.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022500100200400500600200364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144.92.0
141.5143.5
Auto14.6
Teleop118.1
End11.4
blue by 34.4
179.32.0
172.0174.0
Auto29.9
Teleop136.7
End14.7
Second
126.43.3
119.5122.8
Auto15.5
Teleop105.7
End7.3
red by 15.4
6708
#13
111.03.1
103.1106.2
Auto16.0
Teleop78.0
End18.2
Third
6604
#24
99.01.5
97.599.0
Auto16.0
Teleop74.8
End8.2
red by 1.4
3794
#39
97.61.9
100.298.4
Auto11.9
Teleop80.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed