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Red233
5312117.6
6608109.6
6199107.7
Blue134
3933146.9
7040104.5
703790.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242560100300400500600700800233134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#19
117.61.8
114.6116.4
Auto16.6
Teleop93.3
End8.2
blue by 29.3
3933
#16
146.90.4
147.8147.4
Auto18.3
Teleop114.4
End11.2
Second
6608
#14
109.61.5
111.4109.9
Auto15.4
Teleop84.2
End8.3
red by 5.2
7040
#33
104.50.3
104.8104.5
Auto12.8
Teleop81.9
End9.7
Third
107.71.4
109.5108.2
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End6.7
red by 17.2
7037
#41
90.52.8
93.290.5
Auto12.1
Teleop76.6
End-2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed