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Red353
3472130.1
6444106.6
5705114.5
Blue154
7161103.7
683288.7
5959126.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289236100200400500353154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#15
130.10.3
126.6126.9
Auto15.9
Teleop101.4
End16.1
red by 3.2
5959
#18
126.91.5
125.3126.9
Auto16.3
Teleop100.7
End8.2
Second
5705
#36
114.50.2
113.6113.8
Auto14.2
Teleop86.7
End14.3
red by 10.8
7161
#32
103.70.8
103.0103.7
Auto14.4
Teleop75.7
End14.2
Third
6444
#17
106.62.5
104.0106.6
Auto14.7
Teleop84.3
End8.2
red by 17.9
6832
#40
88.70.3
88.388.7
Auto13.4
Teleop72.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed