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Red155
7040104.5
6647154.5
6199107.7
Blue170
7299108.1
3480132.8
4355133.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26228602004006008001,000155170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.50.3
142.7142.4
Auto19.6
Teleop118.9
End17.6
red by 21.0
4355
#11
133.60.1
125.2125.2
Auto17.6
Teleop98.6
End15.9
Second
107.70.5
104.8105.2
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End6.7
blue by 25.1
3480
#12
132.811.6
83.294.8
Auto18.5
Teleop92.5
End23.2
Third
7040
#33
104.510.1
77.787.8
Auto12.8
Teleop81.9
End9.7
blue by 3.6
7299
#31
108.19.3
77.787.0
Auto12.6
Teleop86.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed