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Qual 92018 Laguna Regional
Red452
601790.4
4400140.9
3933146.9
Blue243
4371112.4
5312117.6
7161103.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932230100400500452243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#16
146.92.0
136.2→138.2
Auto18.3
Teleop114.4
End11.2
red by 29.3
5312
#19
117.61.0
119.4→118.4
Auto16.6
Teleop93.3
End8.2
Second
4400
#21
140.90.9
136.3→135.4
Auto15.5
Teleop104.9
End22.9
red by 28.5
4371
#37
112.49.1
86.3→95.4
Auto12.0
Teleop90.0
End8.1
Third
6017
#29
90.42.3
98.4→96.1
Auto13.6
Teleop69.4
End11.6
blue by 13.3
7161
#32
103.711.2
77.7→89.0
Auto14.4
Teleop75.7
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
5%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed