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Red439
2059211.2
5190205.7
587121.1
Blue357
1533151.7
4561190.9
6502148.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380341200250300400450500550600439357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.20.0
211.1211.1
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
red by 20.3
190.90.5
189.9190.4
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
Second
205.70.1
205.5205.5
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
red by 54.0
1533
#11
151.70.8
150.2151.0
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
Third
587
#20
121.10.1
120.9120.9
Auto18.3
Teleop87.2
End15.9
blue by 27.1
6502
#18
148.20.1
148.0148.1
Auto18.7
Teleop110.5
End18.8