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Red305
2059211.2
5190205.7
587121.1
Blue413
1533151.7
4561190.9
6502148.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386337200300500600305413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.20.1
211.1211.2
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
red by 20.3
190.90.5
190.4190.9
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
Second
205.70.1
205.5205.7
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
red by 54.0
1533
#11
151.70.7
151.0151.7
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
Third
587
#20
121.10.1
120.9121.1
Auto18.3
Teleop87.2
End15.9
blue by 27.1
6502
#18
148.20.1
148.1148.2
Auto18.7
Teleop110.5
End18.8