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Red415
2059211.2
5190205.7
587121.1
Blue243
4935138.5
6888118.4
4828112.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4631840100300400500600700800415243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.20.3
210.2210.4
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
red by 72.7
4935
#14
138.50.0
138.6138.5
Auto18.0
Teleop110.2
End9.9
Second
205.70.3
204.2204.6
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
red by 87.3
6888
#13
118.40.3
118.7118.4
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
Third
587
#20
121.10.4
119.6120.0
Auto18.3
Teleop87.2
End15.9
red by 8.4
4828
#23
112.70.2
112.4112.7
Auto16.6
Teleop85.4
End10.6