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Semifinal 1-22018 NC District UNC Asheville Event
Red295
2059211.2
5190205.7
587121.1
Blue215
3196119.0
1261121.2
5511130.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456189100300400500600700800295215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2059
#3
211.20.3
210.7→211.0
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
red by 81.0
5511
#21
130.20.1
130.2→130.2
Auto15.1
Teleop108.0
End5.0
Second
5190
#1
205.70.3
204.9→205.3
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
red by 84.4
1261
#5
121.20.3
120.9→121.2
Auto17.3
Teleop92.3
End11.4
Third
587
#20
121.10.3
120.3→120.7
Auto18.3
Teleop87.2
End15.9
red by 2.1
3196
#10
119.00.3
118.7→119.0
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8