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Red410
1533151.7
4561190.9
6502148.2
Blue216
6932110.3
6899105.6
5854117.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4371880100300400500600700410216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.90.5
187.8188.3
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
red by 73.3
5854
#24
117.60.3
117.2117.6
Auto14.8
Teleop91.8
End13.5
Second
1533
#11
151.70.9
146.9147.7
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
red by 41.4
6932
#28
110.30.2
110.2110.3
Auto14.0
Teleop85.5
End12.5
Third
6502
#18
148.20.0
147.9147.9
Auto18.7
Teleop110.5
End18.8
red by 42.5
6899
#12
105.60.6
105.1105.6
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End8.8