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Quarterfinal 3-12018 NC District UNC Asheville Event
Red419
1533151.7
4561190.9
6502148.2
Blue195
6932110.3
6899105.6
5854117.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4341910100300400500600419195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#2
190.90.5
187.2→187.8
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
red by 73.3
5854
#24
117.60.4
116.8→117.2
Auto14.8
Teleop91.8
End13.5
Second
1533
#11
151.70.9
146.0→146.9
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
red by 41.4
6932
#28
110.30.2
109.9→110.2
Auto14.0
Teleop85.5
End12.5
Third
6502
#18
148.20.1
148.0→147.9
Auto18.7
Teleop110.5
End18.8
red by 42.5
6899
#12
105.60.6
104.4→105.1
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End8.8