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Red409
1533151.7
4561190.9
6502148.2
Blue352
5544148.0
6908137.3
6003132.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392275100200500600409352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.90.5
188.8189.4
Auto24.7
Teleop140.1
End28.7
red by 42.9
148.00.4
147.6148.0
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End17.3
Second
1533
#11
151.70.8
148.6149.4
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
red by 14.4
137.30.2
137.4137.3
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Third
6502
#18
148.20.1
147.9147.9
Auto18.7
Teleop110.5
End18.8
red by 15.4
6003
#19
132.80.3
132.5132.8
Auto14.1
Teleop99.7
End19.3