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Red397
5190205.7
3196119.0
6639123.1
Blue120
5854117.6
5511130.2
6932110.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442020100300400500600397120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
205.72.9
174.2177.1
Auto25.4
Teleop153.4
End25.9
red by 75.5
5511
#21
130.20.8
134.5135.2
Auto15.1
Teleop108.0
End5.0
Second
6639
#30
123.115.3
80.595.8
Auto15.0
Teleop95.1
End12.2
red by 5.5
5854
#24
117.61.0
106.5105.5
Auto14.8
Teleop91.8
End13.5
Third
3196
#10
119.01.7
119.4117.6
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
red by 8.7
6932
#28
110.339.1
116.877.7
Auto14.0
Teleop85.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed