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Red191
5727111.2
633295.8
6888118.4
Blue426
3229137.3
2059211.2
5679124.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1823840100300500600191426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6888
#13
118.441.3
119.177.7
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
blue by 92.8
211.22.2
177.8180.0
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
Second
5727
#26
111.217.0
65.482.4
Auto14.3
Teleop81.7
End17.5
blue by 26.1
137.31.0
134.5133.5
Auto19.6
Teleop97.9
End20.8
Third
6332
#15
95.80.9
103.3102.4
Auto17.8
Teleop77.0
End-0.6
blue by 28.6
124.416.1
73.289.4
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End18.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed