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Red146
1533151.7
6888118.4
6932110.3
Blue147
6899105.6
3661105.1
6908137.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632390100200300400500146147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#11
151.76.2
111.5117.7
Auto24.9
Teleop116.9
End11.2
red by 14.4
137.31.7
121.5123.2
Auto15.0
Teleop112.1
End9.5
Second
6888
#13
118.411.9
77.789.7
Auto15.0
Teleop95.3
End6.8
red by 12.8
6899
#12
105.60.2
99.199.3
Auto13.6
Teleop85.7
End8.8
Third
6932
#28
110.310.3
77.788.1
Auto14.0
Teleop85.5
End12.5
red by 5.2
105.11.4
100.699.2
Auto15.5
Teleop80.3
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed