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Red346
5679124.4
2059211.2
3196119.0
Blue239
4828112.7
4935138.5
5544148.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334248100200300400500600700346239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
211.22.7
180.0182.7
Auto23.8
Teleop166.8
End19.9
red by 63.2
148.01.7
125.3126.9
Auto19.2
Teleop111.7
End17.3
Second
124.46.9
102.6109.5
Auto16.6
Teleop92.1
End18.2
blue by 14.1
4935
#14
138.50.8
136.9137.8
Auto18.0
Teleop110.2
End9.9
Third
3196
#10
119.00.7
117.6116.9
Auto17.2
Teleop96.7
End5.8
red by 6.3
4828
#23
112.71.6
104.3105.9
Auto16.6
Teleop85.4
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed